Bullish US dollar bets hit $40 billion, highest in over a decade
Why it matters: Traders now expect at least one Fed rate hike this year after the dollar climbed 2% in June.
Why it matters: Traders now expect at least one Fed rate hike this year after the dollar climbed 2% in June.
Why it matters: A wider US-Hong Kong rate gap and falling Hibor are raising the odds of Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervention.
Why it matters: A stronger dollar and higher-rate bets have pushed bullion more than 20% below its January peak near $5,600.
What's new: Futures imply an 85% chance of a quarter-point Fed hike by September, while Japan weighs possible currency intervention.
What's next: May inflation data due June 23 could shape a July MAS tightening move that would support the currency.
Why it matters: higher Hibor could unwind bets against the Hong Kong dollar and raise mortgage costs in the city’s rate-linked market.
Why it matters: The fifth straight monthly drop came as Bank Indonesia spent reserves to support the currency and bond market.
Why it matters: Higher yields could slow companies' yuan conversions and help cap the renminbi's 3% rise this year.